Who should get the next job?

Karatum predicts each build's chance of success on this task type from verified outcomes, then picks the best one that meets your constraints.

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  • P(success)
    99.5%
    95% range
    98.2–100.0%
    Expected cost
    $0.0503
    Expected latency
    33.9 s
    Expected utility
    $9.904
    Evidence
    87 outcomes (task)
  • P(success)
    99.2%
    95% range
    95.8–100.0%
    Expected cost
    $0.0123
    Expected latency
    9.3 s
    Expected utility
    $9.904
    Evidence
    23 outcomes (task)
  • P(success)
    99.2%
    95% range
    95.8–100.0%
    Expected cost
    $0.0219
    Expected latency
    14.5 s
    Expected utility
    $9.894
    Evidence
    23 outcomes (task)
  • P(success)
    97.9%
    95% range
    92.6–100.0%
    Expected cost
    $0.0015
    Expected latency
    4.1 s
    Expected utility
    $9.789
    Evidence
    23 outcomes (task)
  • P(success)
    97.6%
    95% range
    92.0–100.0%
    Expected cost
    $0.0007
    Expected latency
    11.6 s
    Expected utility
    $9.762
    Evidence
    23 outcomes (task)
  • P(success)
    98.9%
    95% range
    96.9–100.0%
    Expected cost
    $0.1384
    Expected latency
    36.6 s
    Expected utility
    $9.755
    Evidence
    95 outcomes (task)
  • P(success)
    97.7%
    95% range
    94.6–100.0%
    Expected cost
    $0.2692
    Expected latency
    37.0 s
    Expected utility
    $9.499
    Evidence
    87 outcomes (task)

Utility = P(success) × value − expected cost. The minimum-success constraint applies to the lower end of the 95% range, so a thin record cannot pass on luck.